This Week on Capitol Hill
The Week of January 25, 2010
Aniticipating words is never an exact science, so we'll figure out what everyone is saying what will be said from the times of New York to the post of Washington. As dems are trying to protect any slight majority that they may hold in the Senate GOPs are seizing any and all opprotunities to promote the good of the minorities (i.e. the red [political] race). While some are looking for room for soldiers on the Iraq borders McCain officially has a republican competitor down in the AZ. With a large order in front of the Obama administration it doesn't make things easier when the President himself is being summoned for a court appearance; for jury duty, of course. (Telegraph)
State of the Union Address.
372 days after, arguably, one of the most historic US Pres inagurations, the 1st State of the Union Address will be witnessed. The speech that historically reaches to our deep Parliament roots will outline the past 372 days, as well as, the upcoming 365.
Listen for a shout-out to Ben Bernanke (current chairman of the Federal Reserve) and his confirmation for another term - which is set to be held this Thursday. (NYT) The President should also be echoing his idea (which may soon turn to an executive order, due to a lack of participants on board) regarding a task force of 18-20 policy and decision makers (yes, i think the term 'policy maker' has been overused, too) taking a linebacker (futbal americano) mentality in researching and proposing ideas to tackle the $12.2 tril that we've racked up on our customized American Express. Roughly 10% of the current fed deficit (federal deficit, national debt - whats the difference you may ask?) is what they'll be working with this year in the fed budget (which fiscal year end is in Sept). You must have a deficit to create debt; thus, in essence, the federal deficit is years of a poorly-constructed budget that is financed and turned into a debt. Click here for further reading on this.
Bernanke's Future.
Timothy Geithner (current Secretary of Treasury) has Bernanke's back and has given unlimited support over the past several days concerning his senate confirmation which is quickly approaching. (POLITICO) Citing that Bernanke is more familiar with the issues of the economy as a whole in this nation and that anything that would disrupt his ideas and work towards more stability would create nothing but instability. Bernanke may hold the only other political position that could rival the credit and blame that is recieved from the US public compared to that of the President. At times in the past (especially post the 'bubble bust') he was either doing too much or not enough - there was never a point of equilibrium for the bearded genius. Through all of the flack that he's caught (with a catcher's mit hopefully) those policy makers on both sides still seem to hold a high degree of respect for Bernanke, his experience and intellect.
Executive Order.
As we mentioned earlier, it doesn't appear that Obama has quite enough steam to get his new financial task force engine on the tracks...at least not enough to steer clear of an executive order. Another popular executive order of recent was Bush's tax cuts. The first go 'round was not as successful as he had hoped concerning support. Speaking of those cuts, many of them are set to sunset here in the cloudy 2010. Many GOPs exclaim that as long as taxes (although its not too clear as to whos taxes would increase yet) are increasing their support for this project will continue to decrease. As Pete V. Domenici, a former Senate Budget Committee chairman, says, "There is nothing good for America that will come out of arguing which part of the debt each party is responsible for." (NYT)
Ongoing Stuff
A lot has happened since the Obama team came to Washington in January. The challenges that looked big during the campaign (ending wars, tackling health care reform, passing global warming legislation and reworking civil liberties) looked like kid stuff compared to the economic meltdown faced by the new administration (and the 111th Congress) by the time they took over.
Lawmakers passed a ginormous stimulus bill designed to stoke the economy, a bill that rolled in a number of Obama's favorite initiatives, such as investment in green energy, middle class tax cuts, and computerizing health records. Other economic items that moved quickly included comprehensive mortgage reform, restructuring the auto-industry to save the "big-three" from bankruptcy, a second round of assistance to the financial industry (along with some tighter oversight of the program).
Passing laws doesn't automatically "do" anything, of course. It remains to be seen how well admin agencies are able to implement the new policies and what results they get. Sometimes Congress has to tweak an agency's regulatory authority or make other amendments to laws as logistical stuff comes up. We will keep our eyes and ears peeled and our "issue" pages updated.
Below is a tally of some of the agenda items that are either already checked off or are still in the works and might be up for a vote in either/both houses of congress in the next couple of months.
"Economic Recovery" - aka stimulus - bill: Congress' highest priority - and highest profile - order of business was crafting and passing a $787 billion public investment and tax-break bill that it hopes will give life to the fast flagging economy.
Regulating Wall Street: No one's saying how exactly, but the mood on Capitol Hill and in the White House is that Wall Street will have to be tamed this year. The administration is pushing for a plan to be outlined before the world's top 20 leaders convene in April to revisit the global financial crisis. Expect new rules for lenders, insurers and investors alike - and greater oversight from the Fed. (NYT, WP)
Budgeting: Also high on Congress' to-do list, though with considerably less fanfare, is polishing off a budget for '09. That little item was left over by the last Congress; rather than contend with President Bush over the budget's pricetag, lawmakers figured they'd hold off for a president that was more likely to sign off on their budget priorities. Fiscal conservatives on both sides of the aisle may also push through pay/go legislation this year - making it the law that all budget additions have to be accounted for with cuts or revenue raisers elsewhere in the budget.
"Fiscal responsibility summit": The administration isn't letting a little thing like economic collapse get in the way of trying to rein in America's raging deficit problem. Obama has asked for a summit in March to look at entitlement spending, the tax code and our spending habits to nudge us toward a time of balanced budgets. He'll need all the luck he can get. As WaPo says, it's a "holy grail" no president has been able to grab before (well, excluding all those dotcom boom Clinton years).
Fair pay: In 2007 Congress tried to reverse a Supreme Court decision - the Lilly Ledbetter case - that made it difficult for women (and other groups) to sue for pay discrimination. Lawmakers had an easier time this year, with the House and Senate readily passing legislation that extends the statute of limitations on pay discrimination suits - and the president signing off on the bill in January. (WP, NYT)
Health: Major health care reform probably won't go anywhere until late '09 or '10, but Congress kicked off the year by adding funding for SCHIP (state run programs for low income kids) (WP). As part of the '09 stimulus package, lawmakers also made a push to get medical records out of filing cabinets and into electronic databases, in addition to giving states temporary relief to help pay for Medicaid and expand coverage to the recently unemployed. Finally, lawmakers could okay the reimportation of drugs, while giving the Medicare the power to negotiate down drug prices.
Housing: In tandem with an administration plan to use TARP bailout funds to help out homeowners in hock, Congress may vote to give bankruptcy judges the power to order restructured mortgages.
Immigration: Wholesale immigration reform may be temporily off the table (in no small part because demand for immigrant labor has dried up), but a liberal favorite, the DREAM Act, could come up in early '09. The act gives kids of illegals the option to study in the US and work toward citizenship.
Renewable electricity: A number of proposals in Congress are popping up to mandate that a certain percentage of electricity come from renewable energy, but the exact percentage varies - from 15% to 25% - calling into question whether lawmakers will be able to agree on a final number.
Stem cell research: Having already voted to open up funding for stem cell research - which got vetoed by President Bush - Congress now has a green light to nix the ban on federal support for the controversial research. It may, however, defer to President Obama who could lift the ban by an executive order.
Unionizing: Labor advocates got stymied last year in their efforts to push through a "card check" bill that would let unions organize by signing up members without the hassle of a secret ballot. Although unions have a more friendly congress and administration this year, their bill still may get sidelined by other economic priorities.
Cigarettes: HR 1256, passed in June, gave the FDA the power to regulate cigarettes - including what goes in the death sticks as well as what goes on their packaging. (WP)
On the Executive Side
Obama won't have to wait for Congress to roll back some of the Bush administration's policies. Here are a few regulatory changes Obama is expected to make swift work of.
Pregnancy stuff: The Bush administration okayed a last minute rule protecting health workers who refused to participate in abortion or contraceptive procedures. Obama is expected to nix that new rule, although it may take a few months to take effect. (NYT) The new administration also quickly reversed a rule that banned funding to international health organizations that perform or talk about abortions. (WP)
Closing Gitmo: One of Obama's first acts in the White House was an order to close Guantanamo, which still holds on to about 250 detainees. The order was initially expected to take about a year - with the cooperation of foreign nations and US districts - to relocate all the prisoners. The plan ran into an unexpected roadblock recently, when Senators of both parties denied Obama's request for $80 million to implement it. Democrats want the president to articulate more details on the relocation plan before they commit to funding the process. Republicans generally oppose the plan itself.
Early on, Obama had suspended the Bush-era military tribunals set up to try enemy combatants, but he recently reinstated them with revised trial procedures. The new rules ban the use of hearsay evidence and evidence obtained through torture. They also give the prisoners more control over selecting their lawyers and the right to refuse to testify. Reviving the tribunals might further delay plans to close Gitmo.
Obama has also issued an order ending the CIA's special "interrogation" methods and began declassifying the Justice Department legal memos relied on by the Bush administration in authorizing them.
